Kiddos we are just a month into this War with Iran -- and we are mostly depleted in both attack missiles and interceptors alike -- How is this a good thing?
Our industry is woefully inadaquate and antiquated for a modern 'total war' with any near parity actor -- Iran has shown us this much -- learn the lesson get back ahead of the curve of history. Iran was supposed to be a third world 'easy mark' so much for that assumption. VP indicated today it might be 'a year or two' now -- 1.5 trillion more for 'liberty fam.
How inadaquate are current stocks and resupply ability? It is ghastly -- A month we have by some figures -- rosy numbers say six -- we are losing a war of logicalical attrition -- one we started or allowed to be started.
KSA embassy and main AIR BASE hit -- this will not be promoting confidence in the Ruling House of Sa'ad. The Arab Shieks can be counted upon to do what benefits themselves -- they must end this war soon to ensure their own thrones/power is not threatened by local revolts, and/or palace revolutions.
Our Naval base and radar/forward fitting air fields in Bahrain, Kuwait, UAE, and Qatar are FUBAR -- 80% destroyed main radars destroyed -- mostly useless ruins ... Our Navy is forced to fight standing far off -- as the tankers needed for mid air refueling take slow and steady attrition.
Our Gulf Allies are seeing that they are not as important as the 'other ally' in the region -- and some like Qatar have made, or are in the process of making a separate peace to ensure their OIL/NG infrastructure survives this war. This weakens our over all standing in the region -- If other gulf Arabs also make separate peace overtures to Iran, they will have less reason for the US protective umbrella that justifies the Petrodollar thus imperialing the petrodollar -- helping destroy the EURO and brining the BRICS to power by steps.
We are ensuring our allies in Europe are forced to turn to Russia to survive then like abusers blaming them for this Real Political answer to actual looming starvation and cold next winter! This can only ensure that they MUST come to some sort of DENTANTE with RUSSIA -- if only to survive next Winter's COLD and FUEL their remaining industry. Ukraine will be partioned before Berlin starves. They must, therefore WILL make terms. They need the fuel.
The USA and Israel tring to Arm the Kurds has given to Turkey and Iran common cuase in ensuring that Kurdish nationalist aspirations are dampened -- since both would lose land and resources if any such 'state' emerged.
Azerbiajan was forced to chose between the 'West' and Iran and has seemingly choosen Iran.
Afghanistan will stay nuetral mainly as the Iranians help the Taliban fight against ISIS elements in the Region with intel and covert arms support -- the Taliban will do nothing to threaten that support.
India has been forced to accomidate Russia as well. They need the Oil, that has been cut by unilateral US/Israli action in IRAN. India also has an interest in ensuring that Pakistan has Iran on its border as a non-friendly actor thus they will help support Iran if only covertly.
Pakistan has nuclear weapons, can be counted upon to provoke covertly any SUNNI unrest in Iran, and to support the Gulf Arabs against the Shia.
And CHINA will be the long term winner as now they have weakened Pac-Com as all forces have been shifted to Cen-Com -- if those same forces can barely deal with Iran on the defense, China must be eying its chance of taking Taiwan by OFFENSIVE ACTION coupled to internal allies among the Tiawanese Left. China has every interest in a pipeline that brings Iranian oil to Central Asia such that China can be more independent and keep Iran under tutelage if possible to the Chinese vision of a belt and road to Tehran and Moscow.
China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Turkey, and Iran I can make a case for their 'interest' and something they COULD WIN.
Israel could become a regional superpower on the back of case -- can make that case. They most likely will not -- but it is possible as a 'prize' in a case scenario.
They USA ... I have no such case to present. The USA seems to be purely 'serving' its ally even when Isreal causes it more issues -- by attacking during cease fires thinking this war with IRAN is the same as the war in GAZA -- which the USA seems to allow due to POLITICAL CAPTURE by AIPAC ET AL.
This said this war is fully to Israels gain -- there is only losses in it for the USA.
I see No good cards here for the USA, the Petrodollar or the common American at all -- none. The rhetoric being served up will not replace ferts, oil or consumer goods. There is nothing here worth 2 billion a day and 200 billion more as a buffet to the MIC. (Now they are talking 'short' year long wars' shades of Iraq.)
The only real 'move' is to DROP Isreal hard, and try to mend fences with Gulf Arabs to keep Petro-Dollar going -- that is our real interest. Of course this will not happen due to capture of the Policy Process by partisans of Isreal by means of Lobbying Money and media influence. But a real case can be made that Iran would be a better ally than Israel -- Iran has oil.
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